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Hi! We are Grey Dynamics

Our mission is to provide comprehensive and actionable intelligence to businesses, government agencies, and private clients. With a team of experienced intelligence collectors and analysts, many with backgrounds in intelligence services, military, law enforcement, and academia, we are committed to delivering insights that drive informed decision-making.

Featured Post

45 Years to See It

Dear Decision Maker, Last week I wrote about COG (Critical Outcomes Group) and what we are building. The model. The geographies. The transition at Grey Dynamics. This week is different. This one is about us. The three of us. How John, Alastair, and I came to do this together. Why it took us 45 years combined to see it. And why ground truth still anchors everything we do. So pour yourself a coffee. Let me walk you through it. HOW IT STARTED It started last year. John and I, talking....

Dear Decision Maker, I've been sitting on this for six months. Not because it's secret. The opposite, actually. I didn't want to announce COG (Critical Outcomes Group) until I had proof it works. Last week we closed our first deals. So here we are. Let me walk you through three things: what we're building, why it matters, and what it means for Grey Dynamics. THE PROBLEM NOBODY WANTS TO OWN Global supply chains for critical minerals are broken. Not bent. Not strained. Broken. Here's what that...

Bottom Line Up Front (BLUF): China's decades-long strategic operation has resulted in a near-monopoly on critical rare earth processing (91-100% control), which has been weaponized through an operative licensing system that remains in force. This creates an immediate, high-risk vulnerability for global defense and cleantech supply chains, with the full potential for extraterritorial controls set to resume after the temporary pause expires in November 2026. Dear Decision Maker I think the...

Free Live Workshop WEDNESDAY 8 APRIL | 18:00 CET | 12:00 EST | 09:00 PT | ZOOM | FREE REGISTER Dear Reader Tomorrow at 18:00 CET | 12:00 EST | 09:00 PT, Ray White is going live on Zoom for The Trust Equation workshop. Here is how to get the most out of it: Have a pen and paper ready. Ray will walk through a self-assessment framework and you will want to score yourself in real time. Think of one professional relationship where trust is critical. Bring it to mind during the session. The...

Free Live Workshop WEDNESDAY 8 APRIL | 18:00 CET | 12:00 EST | 09:00 PT | ZOOM | FREE REGISTER Dear Reader Quick reminder. Wednesday's free Zoom workshop on The Trust Equation is 48 hours away. Ray White, a retired CIA Senior Operations Officer, is breaking down the formula intelligence professionals use to build trust. Here is what you will walk away with: A clear understanding of the four variables that determine whether someone trusts you. The single biggest mistake people make when trying...

Three days left till Ray White's Trust Equation live Zoom Workshop (8 April, 18:00 CET/ 12:00 PM EST / 09:00 PT) register here and if you can't make it we will send you the recording. Dear Decision Maker Five days. That is the gap between a Chinese engineer posting a detailed video tutorial on how to shoot down an F-35 stealth fighter and Iran claiming it did exactly that. I want to walk you through what is happening right now. Because it changes everything about how intelligence works. And I...

Free Live Webinar WEDNESDAY 8 APRIL | 18:00 CET | 12:00 EST | 09:00 PT | ZOOM | FREE REGISTER FOR THE FREE WEBINAR Dear Reader I get this question a lot. "Is this for intelligence professionals only?" No. The Trust Equation was not invented by an intelligence agency. It was developed by David Maister, Charles Green, and Robert Galford for their book The Trusted Advisor. It is a universal framework for understanding how trust works in any professional relationship. We teach it in our HUMINT...

Free Live Webinar WEDNESDAY 8 APRIL | 18:00 CET | 12:00 EST | 09:00 PT | ZOOM | FREE REGISTER FOR THE FREE WEBINAR Quick thought for you today. When most people think about building trust, they focus on credibility. They try to prove they know what they are doing They show credentials They demonstrate expertise That is important. But it is not the leverage point. The Trust Equation has 4 variables: Credibility: Do they believe you know what you are doing? Reliability: Do you follow through...

The Trust Equation Workshop Wednesday 8 April | 18:00 CET | Zoom | Free REGISTER FOR THE FREE WEBINAR Dear Reader Most people think intelligence is about information. Satellites Data Open-source scraping It is not. The most valuable intelligence I have ever received in my career came from relationships. And relationships are built on one thing: trust. There is a formula for it. It was developed by Maister, Green, and Galford, and it is taught in every serious intelligence training programme...

Dear Decision Maker I need to talk about something I have been sitting with for a while. And I am going to be honest with you. This is not comfortable to write. The most consequential intelligence experiment of the 21st century is unfolding right now. And most people watching it are drawing the wrong conclusions. The Machine That Never Runs Out of Targets Here is what is happening in Gaza. The IDF deployed three AI systems after October 7. Lavender Gospel Where's Daddy Lavender Lavender...