The MANPADS mistake that exposed Ukraine's supply chain


Dear Decision Maker,

Three critical developments this week demand your attention:

MANPADS Crisis Deepening Ukraine's loose weapons tracking creates new global threat vectors. Poorly secured MANPADS within the Ukrainian theater represent an opportunity for acquisition and proliferation by non-state groups looking to advance their interests across other conflicts. Aviation security planners take note.

FBI Resource Reallocation In March 2025, the U.S. Department of Justice issued an order for the FBI to reallocate resources to immigration enforcement. Counterterrorism capacity degraded as agents shift to deportation operations.

Summer Offensive Stalls Russian momentum slowing across multiple fronts. Tactical gains insufficient for strategic breakthrough. Window for Ukrainian counter-operations opening.

What This Means:

  • Air defense gaps expanding globally
  • Domestic security priorities reshuffled
  • Eastern European conflict entering new phase

Dig in,

Ahmed
CEO Grey Dynamics


Free Intelligence Report

MANPADS Mismanagement in Ukraine: Rising Threat to Air Operations in Fragile States

The widespread distribution of modern Man-Portable Air Defence Systems (MANPADS) across Ukraine has outpaced mechanisms for effective end-user control and tracking. As a result, poorly secured MANPADS within the Ukrainian theater represent an opportunity for acquisition and proliferation by non-state groups looking to advance their interests across other conflicts. 


Intelligence Reports

FBI on Immigration Duty: Priorities Realigned

In March 2025, the U.S. Department of Justice issued an order for the FBI to reallocate resources to immigration enforcement. This order is part of a broader trend of diverting personnel from federal agencies to operations outside of their mission scope to identify, arrest, and deport foreign nationals who are out of status. The shift particularly follows the Trump administration’s priorities regarding what it calls an ‘invasion’ of illegal aliens.


In-depth Articles & Guides

Sheikh Mansur Battalion: Chechen Veterans Fighting For Ukraine

The Sheikh Mansur Battalion (SMB), also known as the Sheikh Mansur Chechen Peacekeeping Battalion, is an ethnic Chechen volunteer formation that is involved in the Russian-Ukrainian invasion.


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