New: After Action Report 📡 #109


Dear Subscriber,

While I was observing Eid celebrations last week (apologies for the missed newsletter), the geopolitical landscape continued its rapid evolution. Now I'm back with critical intelligence you won't find in mainstream sources.

This week's analysis reveals concerning developments: Ethiopia and Eritrea appear headed for potential armed conflict, the USAID closure has created a dangerous soft power vacuum being rapidly filled by adversaries, and US secession movements are gaining unexpected momentum in places like Texas.

Our postmortem on February's M23 rebel advance in eastern DRC examines where our predictions hit and missed—because transparency in intelligence assessment matters.

Meanwhile, our tech team dissects the Al-Ghoul sniper rifle transforming urban combat dynamics in Gaza with its 2km effective range and armor-penetrating capabilities.

Behind the scenes, Iran's naval intelligence leap with the Zagros, and the UK's Taranis drone program reshaping air combat futures.

These aren't isolated events—they're interconnected pieces of a global power realignment that demands your attention.

Dig in,

Ahmed CEO Grey Dynamics


Intelligence Reports

Postmortem: 02 February Report on M23 Advance on Bukavu

Grey Dynamics published a report on 02 February regarding the recent advance of Rwandan-backed M23 rebels in the eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo. We offered several analyses regarding M23’s capabilities and intentions for the following month. In this postmortem assessment of our analysis, we examine the accuracy of our key judgments and dissect how effective our sourcing was at painting a comprehensive picture of the rapidly evolving threat landscape.


In-depth Articles & Guides

Al Ghoul Sniper Rifle: Wreaking Havoc in Gaza?

Palestinian snipers, adept and highly effective in urban operations have utilised a new weapon in their fight against Israeli forces. This weapon, the ‘Al-Ghoul’ sniper rifle, is an anti-material rifle which first utilised a 14.5x114mm cartridge. Early versions of the rifle also boasted an effective range purportedly to be more than 2km. The rifle has been a deadly tool in the arms of the Al-Qassam Brigades (IQB) in their fight against the IDF.


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Hi! We are Grey Dynamics

Our mission is to provide comprehensive and actionable intelligence to businesses, government agencies, and private clients. With a team of experienced intelligence collectors and analysts, many with backgrounds in intelligence services, military, law enforcement, and academia, we are committed to delivering insights that drive informed decision-making.

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